بھارت کی کھوکلی جمہوریت اس کے لوگوں کی
حفاظت نہیں کر سکتی
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Elections make for responsive and accountable governments, or so goes
the truism. But can they also achieve the opposite - that is, encourage
complacency, even callousness, among elected representatives?
Last
month’s headlines from India and China present a disquieting contrast
between elected and unelected governments for anyone committed to
democratic politics. In Beijing, China’s new Communist Party general
secretary, Xi Jinping, has begun a huge crackdown on corruption,
official pomp and ceremony, and “empty talk” - substanceless speeches.
According
to the estimable China-watcher Melinda Liu, “If the changes take hold,
they could have far-reaching implications both at home and abroad. Many
Chinese seem heartened, even inspired, by Xi’s down-to-earth style”.
Many
Indians, on the other hand, are incensed with their sequestered
governing class. Confronted last month with public outrage over the
horrific assault on a young woman in New Delhi, it alternated abysmally
between paralysis and insensitivity.
Having initially failed to
respond, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh muttered some perfunctory
expressions of governmental resolve in his characteristically faint
tone; then, turning to his handlers while the television cameras were
still rolling, he asked, “Theek hai?” Hindi for ‘Is that all right?’
India’s
Home Minister Sushil Kumar Shinde said he was not obliged to meet
student protesters braving the police’s water cannons and truncheons
near the Indian parliament in New Delhi. After all, as he put it,
“Tomorrow Maoists will come here to demonstrate with weapons.”
In
fact, the government responded to the spontaneous protesters as though
they were militant insurgents from central India: It flooded Delhi’s
streets with armed police and shut down roads and railways, revealing a
formidable security apparatus that, many argued, could be put to better
use ensuring the safety of ordinary citizens.
It wasn’t just the
government that acted ham-handedly. Figures from all political parties
seemed to vie with one another in their crass responses to an atrocious
crime, and to the cultures of violence and cruelty it issued from. Not
surprisingly, India these days brims with a free-floating rage against
an obscenely venal and cosseted political class that zealously guards
its privileges and perks.
Middle-class anger has periodically
erupted in recent months, and it even appeared to solidify briefly into
mass political movements. First, Baba Ramdev, a yoga practitioner,
enlisted tens of thousands to his anti-corruption crusade. He was
followed by Anna Hazare, who managed to attract a motley crowd of
industrialists, film stars, students on Facebook and urban
professionals.
One of Hazare’s former lieutenants, an ex-civil
servant named Arvind Kejriwal, ran a name-and-shame campaign against
some of India’s most powerful politicians and businessmen. Each of these
events, including last month’s protests over the gang rape, has been
widely greeted as the harbinger of a politically awakened and empowered
middle class.
The government, however, has calculated otherwise.
It unleashed the police on Ramdev, evicting him and his followers from
their rally grounds in New Delhi. It was similarly ruthless with Hazare,
counting successfully on the inability of the educated and the salaried
to sustain mass protests or follow them up with a political programme.
The
government probably has little to fear from Kejriwal, whose new
political party will struggle to get many votes outside pockets of the
urban middle class. And, though startled by public anger over the Delhi
gang-rape, the government will no doubt try to defuse it with some hasty
legislation and emollient words.
With elections due in 2014, the
government is trying to secure its two main sources of support:
big-business men and the vast majority of poor Indians who vote. Recent
economic policies, which allow greater foreign investment in multibrand
retail, have somewhat mollified the corporate class, inspiring its
representatives in the news media to again hail the lame-duck prime
minister as a reformer. An ambitious plan of cash transfers to the
poorest Indians - a definite vote-getter - was also recently
inaugurated.
The government’s election strategy seems clear: It
desperately wants to be seen as redistributing the spoils of economic
growth through greater subsidies, even as it facilitates greater access
for India’s networks of crony capitalism.
In some respects, the
gambit resembles that of Thailand’s populist authoritarian Thaksin
Shinawatra, who cannily used his support among the rural poor to cement
his status as chief crony capitalist. As events in Thailand showed, the
intolerably squeezed urban middle class, the supposed avant-garde of
democracy, can do little except turn, unhelpfully, to even more
authoritarian figures in the military and the old conservative elite.
In
India, too, many among the relatively privileged - those, for instance,
demanding public hangings and castrations of rapists - are contemptuous
of democratic and legal processes and generally indifferent to the
routine killings and rapes in Held Kashmir and the Northeastern states
by security forces. With their narrow conception of civil rights, they
are always vulnerable to self-proclaimed vendors of instant justice and
efficiency.
In fact, middle-class support has helped the rise of
authoritarian figures such as Narendra Modi, the chief minister of
Gujarat, who was re-elected last month despite accusations he was
complicit in hundreds of deaths and rapes during an anti- Muslim pogrom
in his state in 2002. Modi now hopes that the growing appeal among
middle-class Indians of his apparently successful technocracy will help
him unseat Singh’s government in Delhi.
Modi may not succeed.
Still, his ascension through a devastated moral landscape points to the
radical shrinking of political choices in India. This lamentable
situation, where elected representatives act as yet another aggressively
self-interested elite, is at least partly to be blamed on the fact that
the formal and proceduralist features of democracy - elections - have
superseded their substantive aspects: strong, accountable and
fair-minded institutions and officials.
Certainly, the importance
of the latter is not lost on China’s unelected rulers. Buffeted by a
series of scandals, they know that strong measures against corruption
are essential to maintaining the communist regime’s legitimacy and
ensuring its survival against a rising tide of discontent. Recent
protests, such as the one at Southern Weekend newspaper in Guangdong,
test the credibility of Xi and his commitment to reform. India’s own
entrenched political class derives its legitimacy from routine elections
and well-timed sops to the poor majority. These chosen people don’t
have much incentive to engage with middle-class protesters on the
streets of Indian cities and don’t have to think hard before dispelling
them with brute force. Indeed, it is now the turn of metropolitan
Indians, after political dissenters in Held Kashmir, the northeast, and
central India, to feel the heavy hand of the state. The discontented
urban middle class is a growing demographic. But it is deceptively
overrepresented for now by India’s many, perennially hysterical
television anchors. Politically fragmented and unorganised, the urban
middle class has little to look forward to in the short term, apart from
the periodic rise and fall of ineffectual demagogues such as Hazare and
Ramdev. Its electoral insignificance in the world’s largest democracy
has been carefully quantified by the people to be chosen in 2014. As the
prime minister might put it, “Theek to hai na - that’s all right,
then!” COURTESY –Gulf News
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